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In the first quarter, US equities faced challenges amid political turmoil, while European stocks benefited from fiscal policies. The US economy is expected to slow due to punitive tariffs, but its adaptability may prevent a recession. Investors are advised to diversify portfolios, as US dollar bonds carry high risks amid growing mistrust in the US as a reliable partner. Meanwhile, Swiss equities remain attractive, bolstered by the franc's status as a safe haven alongside gold.
Five client advisors from UBS's Chiasso branch, including three senior managers, have resigned amid a toxic work environment following the bank's takeover of Credit Suisse. The management, led by Marc Genova and Matteo Franceschini, is reportedly implementing significant layoffs, targeting a reduction to 85,000 employees within two years. Despite the departures, many employees are choosing to stay, particularly in back office roles, as UBS navigates new home office regulations and aims for further cost savings.
In the wake of the collapses of Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank, the focus on capital ratios as a measure of bank resilience is being challenged. While UBS faces calls for higher capital requirements, the real lesson is that liquidity, not capital, is crucial for survival in modern banking, especially amid rapid digital transactions and shifting market sentiments. The failures of both banks highlight that a strong capital position does not guarantee stability when trust erodes and liquidity dries up.
US markets are under pressure as fears of a trade war escalate with President Trump's impending tariffs affecting all countries. The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 indices have seen significant declines, while gold prices soar amid geopolitical tensions. Vaccine stocks also suffered, with Moderna and Biontech experiencing sharp losses.
Regula Berger has been appointed as the new Chairwoman of the Board of Directors of Bank Cler, making her one of the few women leading a Swiss bank. She aims to enhance the bank's unique blend of traditional and digital banking services as part of its growth strategy. The Board now has a 57% female representation, significantly above the Swiss average.
A couple from Meilen ZH fled to Qatar, leaving behind nearly 700,000 francs in tax debts. Their Lake Zurich apartment was foreclosed and sold in under 30 seconds for 2.36 million francs, with the Luzerner Kantonalbank being the sole bidder, while other creditors may face significant losses.
VP Bank shares rose slightly by 0.57% to EUR 87.75 on March 30, 2025, but face significant challenges, with analysts issuing a unanimous "sell" rating. Despite a favorable P/E ratio and high dividend yield, earnings expectations have been downgraded, and the average target price is 16.5% below the current price. The bank's history of disappointing results adds to investor concerns ahead of the upcoming Annual General Meeting on April 25, 2025.
The debate over UBS's equity capital has escalated into a national issue in Switzerland, with opinions ranging from the bank's assertion of being well-capitalized to the SP's demand for an additional 40 billion francs. Despite recommendations from the Swiss National Bank and Finma to eliminate rebates for UBS subsidiaries, political discussions are undermining expert guidance, likening the situation to negotiating the structural integrity of a highway bridge.
Berner Kantonalbank (BEKB) has issued a CHF 180 million bond to strengthen its capital and plans to increase its dividend from CHF 10.00 to CHF 10.40 per share following a 3.3% profit growth to CHF 180.7 million in 2024. Despite a recent management change, the bank remains focused on customer engagement and sustainable growth, with a moderate share price volatility of 12.12% over the last 30 days. Investors are urged to consider their options regarding BEKB shares.
Proxy advisor Ethos has sharply criticized UBS for excessive executive compensation, particularly for CEO Sergio Ermotti, whose pay exceeds the average by 53% compared to Swiss peers. Ethos also opposes the bank's share buyback program and highlights shortcomings in its sustainability report, noting a decline in commitments to climate change and insufficient emissions data. The foundation urges shareholders to reject these agenda items at the upcoming Annual General Meeting.
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